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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Ortega Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

Tract 12031013301 · Duval, FL · pop 3,688 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

The Lower-tier score of 3.9/10 for census tract 12031013301 reflects conditions in Ortega Hills in Jacksonville, Florida. It lands near the 11th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 20% of renter households, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,398 a month while the average household earns $63,724 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 16% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units1,199
Renter share20.4%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate10.0%
Median income$63,724

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Ortega Hills
Very High
Within parent city
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#113 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Moderate
Within county
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#116 of 218 tracts In Duval
Moderate
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,912 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.2159, -81.7119 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ortega Hills scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.0% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$1,398 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Ortega Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ortega Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 013301Jacksonville: 2.52.5Jacksonvilleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 166Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 4 filings (0.69× baseline)2020-02-01: 3 filings (1.36× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.28× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-09-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-10-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 4 filings (1.82× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (0.83× baseline)2021-06-01: 4 filings (0.65× baseline)2021-07-01: 2 filings (0.91× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (1.32× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (1.47× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.34× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (1.82× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.36× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (1.39× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (2.27× baseline)2022-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (0.59× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2023-02-01: 9 filings (4.09× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.71× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (1.11× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (0.32× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (0.91× baseline)2023-08-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 9 filings (2.37× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.59× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2024-02-01: 6 filings (2.73× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.28× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.16× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.45× baseline)2024-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (0.59× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (1.03× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (0.45× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (1.43× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.56× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (0.53× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (0.59× baseline)2026-01-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 3 filings (30.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ortega Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ortega Hills

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 3.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Duval County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.69x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031013301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031013301?

Census tract 12031013301 in the Ortega Hills neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031013301?

Median gross rent is $1,398/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031013301?

10.0% of residents in tract 12031013301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,688.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031013301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 65th, minority 67th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 12031013301 considered part of Ortega Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031013301 fall within Ortega Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031013301 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031013301 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031013301 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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