Within parent city
78
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031011000 · Duval, FL · pop 3,481
Tract 12031011000 sits in Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 3,481 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,519
Renter share46.7%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate35.3%
Median income$27,386
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.4096, -81.6861 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
35.3% poverty · this tract
8.8
Supply constraint
$1,118 rent vs county FMR
1.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 74
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 34%Household composition
- 84%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 504Total filings over 10 yrs
- 8.73%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.2%Peak (2016)
- 67Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 40% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 379Total filings 2020-21
- 4.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.09×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Duval County average of 49.2%. Set annual rent against average income of $27,386 and the ratio lands at 49%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. The poverty rate is 35%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the high side, economic stress reads 8.8/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,118, 24% below the Jacksonville average.
Disability prevalence runs 44.0% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 504 filings here across 10 tracked years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 9.2% of renter households.
In a typical year about 8.7% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031011000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031011000?
Census tract 12031011000 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031011000?
Median gross rent is $1,118/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031011000?
35.3% of residents in tract 12031011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,481.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031011000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 34th, minority 84th, housing 55th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031011000?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 504 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031011000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.73% of renter households, peaking at 9.2% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031011000 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.09× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031011000 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031011000 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031014704
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012100
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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