Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Belle Rive Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville
Tract 12031016725 · Duval, FL · pop 4,465 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 12031016725 sits in the Belle Rive area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 4,465 residents. 39% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,888
Renter share60.5%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate21.0%
Median income$41,360
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2028, -81.5671 · click any tract to drill in
Why Belle Rive scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.0% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,217 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Belle Rive compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 47%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,105Total filings over 10 yrs
- 11.04%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.7%Peak (2007)
- 82Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 346Total filings 2020-21
- 4.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Belle Rive. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Belle Rive
70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Duval County average of 49.2%. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $41,360, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.
At $1,217 a month, rents run 17% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,105 filings here across 10 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 15.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 11.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031016725
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031016725?
Census tract 12031016725 in the Belle Rive neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031016725?
Median gross rent is $1,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031016725?
21.0% of residents in tract 12031016725 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,465.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031016725?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 75th, minority 64th, housing 47th.
Q5
Is tract 12031016725 considered part of Belle Rive?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031016725 fall within Belle Rive (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031016725?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,105 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031016725 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.04% of renter households, peaking at 15.7% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031016725 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031016725 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031016725 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031011200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riverside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031002701
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011400
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012601
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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