Within parent city
95
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031011300 · Duval, FL · pop 3,055
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12031011300 in Jacksonville, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,055 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units1,146
Renter share49.0%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate42.6%
Median income$33,730
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3921, -81.7081 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
42.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,254 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 88
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 94%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 461Total filings over 10 yrs
- 9.66%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.5%Peak (2007)
- 66Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 302Total filings 2020-21
- 3.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.01×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $33,730, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against Duval County at 49.2%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 46.2% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points.
Court records carry 461 eviction filings across 10 observed years. Average gross rent is $1,254, 14% below the Jacksonville average.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 16.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 9.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031011300
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031011300?
Census tract 12031011300 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031011300?
Median gross rent is $1,254/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031011300?
42.6% of residents in tract 12031011300 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,055.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031011300?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 69th, minority 94th, housing 67th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031011300?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 461 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031011300 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.66% of renter households, peaking at 16.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031011300 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.01× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031011300 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031011300 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031014800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015805
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012100
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012201
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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