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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Avondale Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville

Tract 12031002501 · Duval, FL · pop 3,931 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 12031002501 covers part of the Avondale area of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,931 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 24% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,129
Renter share45.0%
SVI overall0.82
Poverty rate26.1%
Median income$42,610

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Avondale
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#10 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#35 of 218 tracts In Duval
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.3159, -81.7086 · click any tract to drill in

Why Avondale scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.1% poverty · this tract
6.5
Supply constraint
$1,010 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Avondale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Avondale risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0025013.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 82

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 863Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 9.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.0%Peak (2007)
  • 78Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12031002501
Filings dropped 17% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 268Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.52×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Avondale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Avondale

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,010, 31% below the Jacksonville average. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Court records carry 863 eviction filings across 10 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2007 at 16.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 9.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031002501

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002501?

Census tract 12031002501 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031002501?

Median gross rent is $1,010/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002501?

26.1% of residents in tract 12031002501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,931.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002501?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 82th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 81th, household 59th, minority 68th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 12031002501 considered part of Avondale?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031002501 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002501?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 863 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031002501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.39% of renter households, peaking at 16.0% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031002501 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031002501 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031002501 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12031002501 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 30% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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