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Neighborhood · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally

Ortega Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville

Tract 12031013522 · Duval, FL · pop 4,160 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

The Ortega Hills area of Jacksonville is where census tract 12031013522 sits, home to 4,160 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.6/10. That is riskier than roughly 27% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 47% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,458 a month against an average household income of $76,397 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 60% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 32% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,687
Renter share60.0%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$76,397

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Ortega Hills
Very Low
Within parent city
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#151 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#154 of 218 tracts In Duval
Low
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#2,737 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.2203, -81.7262 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ortega Hills scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,458 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Ortega Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ortega Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.23.2This tracttract 013522Jacksonville: 2.52.5Jacksonvilleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 58

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 431Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 8.40%Avg annual filing rate
  • 22.2%Peak (2007)
  • 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120310135222002: 31 filings (12.11/100 renter HHs)2007: 103 filings (22.19/100 renter HHs)2009: 36 filings (7.75/100 renter HHs)2010: 41 filings (7.99/100 renter HHs)2011: 45 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2012: 38 filings (5.65/100 renter HHs)2013: 18 filings (2.67/100 renter HHs)2014: 44 filings (6.54/100 renter HHs)2015: 39 filings (5.79/100 renter HHs)2016: 36 filings (6.64/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 393Total filings 2020-21
  • 5.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.89×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 15 filings (2.59× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (2.50× baseline)2020-03-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-08-01: 4 filings (1.54× baseline)2020-09-01: 6 filings (1.30× baseline)2020-10-01: 8 filings (5.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 8 filings (3.08× baseline)2020-12-01: 16 filings (8.89× baseline)2021-01-01: 3 filings (0.52× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (1.88× baseline)2021-03-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (1.88× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.31× baseline)2021-06-01: 3 filings (1.36× baseline)2021-07-01: 10 filings (3.33× baseline)2021-08-01: 4 filings (1.54× baseline)2021-09-01: 4 filings (0.87× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (3.13× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.38× baseline)2021-12-01: 2 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-01-01: 9 filings (1.55× baseline)2022-02-01: 9 filings (5.63× baseline)2022-03-01: 9 filings (2.25× baseline)2022-04-01: 6 filings (3.75× baseline)2022-05-01: 5 filings (1.56× baseline)2022-06-01: 8 filings (3.64× baseline)2022-07-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (1.92× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (0.87× baseline)2022-10-01: 7 filings (4.38× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2022-12-01: 14 filings (7.78× baseline)2023-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2023-03-01: 12 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 5 filings (3.13× baseline)2023-05-01: 7 filings (2.19× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (2.73× baseline)2023-07-01: 10 filings (3.33× baseline)2023-08-01: 10 filings (3.85× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (1.52× baseline)2023-10-01: 5 filings (3.13× baseline)2023-11-01: 12 filings (4.62× baseline)2023-12-01: 9 filings (5.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.34× baseline)2024-02-01: 7 filings (4.38× baseline)2024-03-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-04-01: 9 filings (5.63× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (0.94× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.45× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (0.77× baseline)2024-09-01: 10 filings (2.17× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.63× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.77× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (3.89× baseline)2025-01-01: 5 filings (0.86× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (1.25× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2025-04-01: 4 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 3 filings (0.94× baseline)2025-06-01: 4 filings (1.82× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2025-09-01: 5 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (2.50× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (1.15× baseline)2025-12-01: 6 filings (3.33× baseline)2026-01-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-02-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-03-01: 6 filings (60.00× baseline)2026-04-01: 4 filings (40.00× baseline)2026-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ortega Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ortega Hills

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 3.4/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.89x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 431 eviction filings here over 10 tracked years, with about 8.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 22.2% of renter households in 2007.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031013522

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031013522?

Census tract 12031013522 in the Ortega Hills neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031013522?

Median gross rent is $1,458/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031013522?

5.5% of residents in tract 12031013522 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,160.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031013522?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 33th, minority 68th, housing 79th.
Q5

Is tract 12031013522 considered part of Ortega Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031013522 fall within Ortega Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031013522?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 431 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031013522 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.40% of renter households, peaking at 22.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031013522 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031013522 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031013522 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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