Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Ortega Hills Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031013522 · Duval, FL · pop 4,160 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 12031013522 covers part of the Ortega Hills area of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,160 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28%
Stable renters 32%
Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,687
Renter share60.0%
SVI overall0.58
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$76,397
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
24
th percentile
Low
Within county
3
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2203, -81.7262 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ortega Hills scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,458 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Ortega Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 58
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 44%Socioeconomic
- 33%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 431Total filings over 10 yrs
- 8.40%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.2%Peak (2007)
- 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 16% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 393Total filings 2020-21
- 5.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.89×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ortega Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ortega Hills
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 431 filings here across 10 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points below the Duval County average of 3.7.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 22.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.2/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. 47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031013522
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031013522?
Census tract 12031013522 in the Ortega Hills neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031013522?
Median gross rent is $1,458/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031013522?
5.5% of residents in tract 12031013522 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,160.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031013522?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 58th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 33th, minority 68th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 12031013522 considered part of Ortega Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031013522 fall within Ortega Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031013522?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 431 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031013522 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.40% of renter households, peaking at 22.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031013522 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031013522 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031013522 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012000
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031010800
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012100
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031000300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031012201
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013302
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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