Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12031002702 · Duval, FL · pop 4,549

12031002702 is a census tract in Jacksonville, FL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,549 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 37% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,525
Renter share68.0%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate52.6%
Median income$29,566

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#35 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
High
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 218 tracts In Duval
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.3357, -81.7139 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jacksonville scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
52.6% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,099 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Jacksonville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jacksonville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0027023.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 745Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 11.01%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.1%Peak (2007)
  • 93Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12031002702
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 567Total filings 2020-21
  • 7.4Avg monthly (observed)
  • 6.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville

The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $29,566 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Disability prevalence runs 51.0% against 31.5% nationally. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.

At $1,099 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.0% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.

Court records carry 745 eviction filings across 10 observed years. Filings peaked in 2007 at 16.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031002702

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002702?

Census tract 12031002702 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031002702?

Median gross rent is $1,099/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002702?

52.6% of residents in tract 12031002702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,549.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 69th, minority 87th, housing 75th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002702?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 745 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031002702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.01% of renter households, peaking at 16.1% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031002702 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031002702 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031002702 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12031002702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 52% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related