Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031002702 · Duval, FL · pop 4,549
12031002702 is a census tract in Jacksonville, FL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. It is home to 4,549 residents. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3357, -81.7139 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 75%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 52%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 745Total filings over 10 yrs
- 11.01%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.1%Peak (2007)
- 93Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 567Total filings 2020-21
- 7.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Set annual rent against average income of $29,566 and the ratio lands at 45%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Disability prevalence runs 51.0% against 31.5% nationally. 25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10.
At $1,099 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 25.0% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.
Court records carry 745 eviction filings across 10 observed years. Filings peaked in 2007 at 16.1% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 12031002702
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002702?
What is the average rent in tract 12031002702?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002702?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002702?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002702?
Did eviction filings in tract 12031002702 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12031002702 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Was tract 12031002702 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.