Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031010800 · Duval, FL · pop 5,105
With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12031010800 in Jacksonville, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,846
Renter share37.6%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate33.6%
Median income$41,476
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.4101, -81.7237 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.6% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,340 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 89%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 385Total filings over 10 yrs
- 6.17%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.5%Peak (2016)
- 58Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 222% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 349Total filings 2020-21
- 4.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 3.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.21×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
Set annual rent against average income of $41,476 and the ratio lands at 39%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Disability prevalence runs 45.8% against 31.5% nationally.
16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Duval County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Against Duval County at 49.2%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Court records carry 385 eviction filings across 10 observed years. The worst year on record was 2016, when 7.5% of renter households were served. Average gross rent is $1,340, 9% below the Jacksonville average.
In a typical year about 6.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031010800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031010800?
Census tract 12031010800 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031010800?
Median gross rent is $1,340/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031010800?
33.6% of residents in tract 12031010800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,105.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031010800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 89th, minority 92th, housing 79th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031010800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 385 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031010800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.17% of renter households, peaking at 7.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031010800 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.21× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031010800 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031010800 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12031011200
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riverside
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031002701
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031013504
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015300
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011400
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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