Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031014414 · Duval, FL · pop 6,801
Tract 12031014414 sits in Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 34%
Tract context
Occupied units3,056
Renter share65.5%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate32.7%
Median income$77,399
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
92
th percentile
Very High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.2716, -81.5317 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.7% poverty · this tract
8.2
Supply constraint
$1,775 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 70%Racial/ethnic minority
- 54%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 452Total filings 2020-21
- 5.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 8.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 33%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. At $1,775 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Jacksonville commands.
It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. Cost burden runs 53% here against 49.2% across Duval County.
On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $77,399.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031014414
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031014414?
Census tract 12031014414 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031014414?
Median gross rent is $1,775/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031014414?
32.7% of residents in tract 12031014414 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,801.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031014414?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 5th, minority 70th, housing 54th.
Q5
Did eviction filings in tract 12031014414 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q6
How does tract 12031014414 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031014414 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
LaVilla
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031002802
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031015502
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12031011600
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Sans Pareil
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Brentwood
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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