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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

LaVilla Eviction Risk: Moderate , Jacksonville

Tract 12031002902 · Duval, FL · pop 4,090 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 12031002902 sits in the LaVilla area of Jacksonville eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. Population here is 4,090. around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Duval County average of 49.2%.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 41% Stable renters 20% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,633
Renter share60.3%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate38.8%
Median income$26,130

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In LaVilla
Moderate
Within parent city
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#50 of 218 tracts In Duval
High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.3476, -81.6808 · click any tract to drill in

Why LaVilla scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.8% poverty · this tract
9.7
Supply constraint
$1,004 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How LaVilla compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
LaVilla risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0029023.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 915Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 12.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.4%Peak (2007)
  • 114Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12031002902
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 652Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.09×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within LaVilla. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in LaVilla

The dominant input is economic stress at 9.7/10. Annualized rent equals 46% of average household income of $26,130, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

At $1,004 a month, rents run 31% under what the rest of Jacksonville commands. Disability prevalence runs 48.6% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7.

Adults with no health insurance runs 21.1% against 11.3% nationally. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 915 filings here across 10 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2007 at 16.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Jacksonville. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031002902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002902?

Census tract 12031002902 in the LaVilla neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031002902?

Median gross rent is $1,004/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002902?

38.8% of residents in tract 12031002902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,090.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 64th, minority 90th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 12031002902 considered part of LaVilla?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031002902 fall within LaVilla (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002902?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 915 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031002902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 12.87% of renter households, peaking at 16.4% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12031002902 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.09× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12031002902 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031002902 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12031002902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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