Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #13,119 of 84,120 nationally
Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031015502 · Duval, FL · pop 4,943
Census tract 12031015502 runs through Jacksonville. With 4,943 residents, it scores 5.6/10 for landlords. That is riskier than about 62% of US census tracts.
About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $943 a month while the average household earns $32,860 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,940
Renter share74.6%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate52.8%
Median income$32,860
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
National
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3215, -81.5714 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 5.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
52.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$943 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 922Total filings over 10 yrs
- 8.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.4%Peak (2013)
- 79Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,136Total filings 2020-21
- 14.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.02×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Duval County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 2.02x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
The tract is racially mixed and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031015502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031015502?
Census tract 12031015502 in Jacksonville scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031015502?
Median gross rent is $943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031015502?
52.8% of residents in tract 12031015502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,943.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031015502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 88th, minority 83th, housing 99th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031015502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 922 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031015502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.20% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031015502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 2.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031015502 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031015502 scores 5.9/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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