Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12031015502 · Duval, FL · pop 4,943
Census tract 12031015502 covers part of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,943. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3215, -81.5714 · click any tract to drill in
Why Jacksonville scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Jacksonville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 93%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 922Total filings over 10 yrs
- 8.20%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.4%Peak (2013)
- 79Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 1,136Total filings 2020-21
- 14.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 2.02×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville
The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $943, 36% below the Jacksonville average.
On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $32,860, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Disability prevalence runs 48.0% against 31.5% nationally.
Adults with no health insurance runs 27.6% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. The filing record is not thin: 922 evictions over 10 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 10.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 12031015502
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031015502?
What is the average rent in tract 12031015502?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031015502?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031015502?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031015502?
Did eviction filings in tract 12031015502 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12031015502 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.