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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Jacksonville Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12031015502 · Duval, FL · pop 4,943

Census tract 12031015502 covers part of Jacksonville, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,943. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 36% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,940
Renter share74.6%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate52.8%
Median income$32,860

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#35 of 206 tracts In Jacksonville
High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 218 tracts In Duval
Very High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region

Centroid at 30.3215, -81.5714 · click any tract to drill in

Why Jacksonville scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
52.8% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$943 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0

How Jacksonville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Jacksonville risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0155023.4Jacksonvilleparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 922Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 8.20%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.4%Peak (2013)
  • 79Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12031015502
Filings dropped 29% over the past 10 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 1,136Total filings 2020-21
  • 14.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 7.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 2.02×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-05-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Jacksonville

The poverty rate is 53%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $943, 36% below the Jacksonville average.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $32,860, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Disability prevalence runs 48.0% against 31.5% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 27.6% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 1.1 points above the Duval County average of 3.7. The filing record is not thin: 922 evictions over 10 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2013, when 10.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.2% of renter households face a filing.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12031015502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031015502?

Census tract 12031015502 in Jacksonville scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12031015502?

Median gross rent is $943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12031015502?

52.8% of residents in tract 12031015502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,943.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12031015502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 93th, household 88th, minority 83th, housing 99th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031015502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 922 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031015502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.20% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12031015502 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 2.02× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12031015502 compare to Jacksonville overall?

Tract 12031015502 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville

Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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