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Neighborhood · Pensacola, FL

Aragon Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 3,597 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.3/10 · range 3–3.5

Aragon takes in 2 census tracts of Pensacola, FL, population 3,597. The Eviction Risk Score is 3.3/10, in the Lower tier. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 25%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. On the softer side is tenant-organizing strength, at 1.5/10. 39% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Pensacola rate of 30.7%.

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10. At $1,551 a month, rents sit 17% over what the rest of Pensacola commands.

Court records for this tract carry 92 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2007, when filings touched 9.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 4.6% in 2010, is well off that peak.

That places it #2 of 8 neighborhoods in Pensacola. Its 2 tracts score within 0.5 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $68,803.

46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 3.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
3.3
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Aragon vs Pensacola How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
39.2% +28%
Pensacola: 30.7%
Average gross rent
$1,551 +17%
Pensacola: $1,322
Average HH income
$68,803 -5%
Pensacola: $72,699
Poverty rate
11.2% -9%
Pensacola: 12.4%
Renter share
45.5% +27%
Pensacola: 35.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Aragon and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3–3.5

Why Aragon scores 3.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Rent control risk
39% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Tenant organizing strength
46% renter households · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
11.2% below poverty line · Range 1.5–4.0 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.1–5.1 across tracts
4.6
Risk score comparison

Aragon vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Aragon score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.3AragonNeighborhood3.2Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Aragon

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12033000100 3.5 1,885 53% $1,628
12033000801 3 1,712 24% $1,467
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 62%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 49%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 83%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Aragon

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 92Total filings (sum)
  • 6.78%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.1%Peak year (2007)
  • 4.63%Latest filed (2010)
Frequently asked

About Aragon

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Aragon?

Aragon scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Aragon compare to Pensacola overall?

Aragon scores 0.1 points higher than Pensacola overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 39% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,551 vs $1,322.
Q3

What is the average rent in Aragon?

Average gross rent in Aragon is $1,551/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Aragon residents are renters?

46% of Aragon households are renter-occupied (vs 36% in Pensacola). The neighborhood has 3,597 residents.
Q5

Is Aragon a high social-vulnerability area?

Aragon sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Aragon have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Aragon is census tract 12033000100 (score 3.5/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 3.5, a spread of 0.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Aragon for landlords?

Aragon carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.3/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Pensacola as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Aragon?

Aragon has 4,014 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (23.3%), Other / Multiracial (11.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Aragon

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Pensacola

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Aragon.

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