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Neighborhood · Palm Coast, FL

Pine Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower

2 census tracts · pop 11,461 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.4/10 · range 3.1–4.1

Pine Lakes is a 2-tract neighborhood of Palm Coast, FL, population 11,461. Scored across those inputs it reaches 3.4/10, placing it in the Lower tier. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.1/10.

Cost burden runs 46% against 36.7% citywide, putting Pine Lakes 9.5% over its own city. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running cool is economic stress, at 2/10. The voucher gap is 18.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.1 to 4.1, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Average gross rent is $2,005, 13% above the Palm Coast average of $1,782.

That places it #7 of 6 neighborhoods in Palm Coast. At 17% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. The closest comparables inside the same city are Palm Harbor and Woodlands.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $75,859.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
2 tracts · population-weighted
Pine Lakes vs Palm Coast How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.2% +26%
Palm Coast: 36.7%
Average gross rent
$2,005 +13%
Palm Coast: $1,782
Average HH income
$75,859 +6%
Palm Coast: $71,840
Poverty rate
7.8% -18%
Palm Coast: 9.5%
Renter share
17.0% -6%
Palm Coast: 18.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Pine Lakes and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.1–4.1

Why Pine Lakes scores 3.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.1–1.1 across tracts
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
17% renter households · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts
4.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.7–6.7 across tracts
6.7
Economic stress
7.8% below poverty line · Range 1.7–2.5 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–7.6 across tracts
6.8
Risk score comparison

Pine Lakes vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Pine Lakes score vs. parent city, state, U.S.3.4Pine LakesNeighborhood3.7Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Pine Lakes

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12035060210 4.1 4,005 52% $1,766
12035060211 3.1 7,456 43% $2,134
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 58%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 48%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 14%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Frequently asked

About Pine Lakes

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Pine Lakes?

Pine Lakes scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Pine Lakes compare to Palm Coast overall?

Pine Lakes scores 0.3 points lower than Palm Coast overall (3.7/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $2,005 vs $1,782.
Q3

What is the average rent in Pine Lakes?

Average gross rent in Pine Lakes is $2,005/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Pine Lakes residents are renters?

17% of Pine Lakes households are renter-occupied (vs 18% in Palm Coast). The neighborhood has 11,461 residents.
Q5

Is Pine Lakes a high social-vulnerability area?

Pine Lakes sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Pine Lakes have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Pine Lakes is census tract 12035060210 (score 4.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.1 to 4.1, a spread of 1 points.
Q7

How safe is Pine Lakes for landlords?

Pine Lakes carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Palm Coast as a whole (3.7/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Pine Lakes?

Pine Lakes has 12,061 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (70.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.8%), Hispanic / Latino (8.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Pine Lakes

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Palm Coast

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Pine Lakes.

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