Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally

Palm River-Clair Mel Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12057013504 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,921

With a score of 5.3/10, tract 12057013504 in Palm River-Clair Mel, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 5% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,085
Renter share18.7%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate16.1%
Median income$55,536

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 7 tracts In Palm River-Clair Mel
Moderate
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 333 tracts In Hillsborough
High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#809 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#28,095 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palm River-Clair Mel and the region

Centroid at 27.9281, -82.3789 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palm River-Clair Mel scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.1% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,392 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel
7.6

How Palm River-Clair Mel compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palm River-Clair Mel risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.3This tracttract 0135044.3Palm River-Clair Mparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 189Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 7.80%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.6%Peak (2002)
  • 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12057013504
Filings climbed 108% over the past 11 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 87Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.2Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.53×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palm River-Clair Mel

The severe-burden share is 34%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.3% against 11.3% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10.

It sits 1.1 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. The filing record is not thin: 189 evictions over 11 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 14.6% of renter households. At $1,392 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Palm River-Clair Mel commands.

In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 67% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12057013504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057013504?

Census tract 12057013504 in Palm River-Clair Mel scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12057013504?

Median gross rent is $1,392/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12057013504?

16.1% of residents in tract 12057013504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,921.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12057013504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 86th, minority 88th, housing 69th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057013504?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 189 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057013504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.80% of renter households, peaking at 14.6% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12057013504 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.53× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12057013504 compare to Palm River-Clair Mel overall?

Tract 12057013504 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Palm River-Clair Mel at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm River-Clair Mel; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel

Top eight tracts in Palm River-Clair Mel ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related