Reflections Eviction Risk: Lower , Cheval

The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. At $2,250 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Northdale commands.

Against the Hillsborough County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Court records carry 14 eviction filings across 7 observed years.

The voucher gap is 13.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Filings peaked in 2011 at 10.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.