Ansley Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower

Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1/10. On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.3/10. Severe burden reaches 18%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Cost burden runs 39% against 33.1% citywide, putting Ansley Terrace 5.7% over its own city. The filing record is not thin: 129 evictions logged in this tract. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Average gross rent is $1,237, 12% below the Plant City average of $1,409. The worst year on record was 2000, when filings touched 4.7% of renter households. Recent filings have not receded much: 3.2% in 2016 against a 4.7% peak.

Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Plant City, it ranks #10 by risk, the lower third. At 17% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. For a like-for-like read, Magnolia Green and Oak Hill score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Against average income of $90,045, annual rent is only 16%, a wide affordability cushion.

One tract means one number: 3.6/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.