Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Carrollwood Village Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12057011417 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 5,846 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
12057011417 is a census tract in the Carrollwood Village area of Carrollwood, FL. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units2,069
Renter share51.2%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate8.7%
Median income$58,028
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carrollwood and the region
Centroid at 28.0765, -82.5359 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carrollwood Village scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carrollwood
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.7% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,596 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carrollwood
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carrollwood
6.0
How Carrollwood Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 53%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 55%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 445Total filings over 11 yrs
- 6.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.5%Peak (2005)
- 36Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 165Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.98×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carrollwood Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carrollwood Village
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $58,028 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.
Against Hillsborough County at 51.5%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 445 eviction filings across 11 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 14.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7/10. It tracks the Hillsborough County average of 4.2 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,596, close to the Carrollwood average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011417
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011417?
Census tract 12057011417 in the Carrollwood Village neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011417?
Median gross rent is $1,596/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011417?
8.7% of residents in tract 12057011417 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,846.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011417?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 53th, minority 75th, housing 55th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011417 considered part of Carrollwood Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011417 fall within Carrollwood Village (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011417?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 445 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057011417 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.55% of renter households, peaking at 14.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011417 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.98× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011417 compare to Carrollwood overall?
Tract 12057011417 scores 4.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Carrollwood at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carrollwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carrollwood
Top eight tracts in Carrollwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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