Neighborhood · Brandon, FL

Alexandria Place Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 11,063 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.3/10 · range 4–4.6

Alexandria Place is a 3-tract neighborhood of Brandon, FL and houses 11,063 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.3/10, Moderate tier. Against a Brandon baseline of 33.4%, about half of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

77% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.2/10.

Filings are well documented here: 2,381 across 3 observed tracts. Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 56.2% of renter households.

At $1,614 a month, rents sit 10% under what the rest of Brandon commands. That places it #7 of 11 neighborhoods in Brandon. Judgments average 7.6% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Brentwood Hills and Sterling Ranch.

With little internal variation, 4.3/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score

4.3

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Alexandria Place vs Brandon How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.2% +44%

Brandon: 33.4%

Average gross rent

$1,614 -10%

Brandon: $1,784

Average HH income

$65,566 -15%

Brandon: $77,068

Poverty rate

9.0% -25%

Brandon: 12.0%

Renter share

77.3% +77%

Brandon: 43.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Alexandria Place and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4–4.6

Why Alexandria Place scores 4.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Rent control risk

48% of income on rent · Range 7.4–8.3 across tracts

7.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.4–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

77% renter households · Range 8.0–8.7 across tracts

8.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.6–7.6 across tracts

6.9

Economic stress

9.0% below poverty line · Range 1.9–2.8 across tracts

2.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.5–3.8 across tracts

3.2

Risk score comparison

Alexandria Place vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Alexandria Place?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.6 points from 4 to 4.6. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

4.6 4.4 4.0

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Alexandria Place

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057013316	4.6	2,992	57%	$1,576
12057013505	4.4	3,288	51%	$1,477
12057013315	4	4,783	41%	$1,731

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 54

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 65%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 45%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 36%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Alexandria Place

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

2,381Total filings (sum)
12.30%Avg annual filing rate
56.2%Peak year (2016)
4.79%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,849Total filings 2020-21
9.1Avg monthly observed
5.9Pre-pandemic baseline
1.41×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Alexandria Place

What is the eviction-risk score for Alexandria Place?

Alexandria Place scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Alexandria Place compare to Brandon overall?

Alexandria Place scores 0.0 points higher than Brandon overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,614 vs $1,784.

What is the average rent in Alexandria Place?

Average gross rent in Alexandria Place is $1,614/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Alexandria Place residents are renters?

77% of Alexandria Place households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Brandon). The neighborhood has 11,063 residents.

Is Alexandria Place a high social-vulnerability area?

Alexandria Place sits in the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Alexandria Place have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Alexandria Place is census tract 12057013316 (score 4.6/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4 to 4.6, a spread of 0.6 points.

How safe is Alexandria Place for landlords?

Alexandria Place carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.3/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandon as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.

What is the demographic breakdown of Alexandria Place?

Alexandria Place has 11,497 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (33.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (27.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Alexandria Place

4.3 Sterling Ranch 3 tracts · pop 16,449 4.8 Limona 3 tracts · pop 14,731 5.2 Ventura Bay 2 tracts · pop 9,198 4.6 Allendale 3 tracts · pop 12,211 4.3 Winthrop 2 tracts · pop 11,574 4.3 Winthrop Village 2 tracts · pop 4,676

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brandon

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Alexandria Place.

4.2 Winthrop 2 tracts · pop 11,574 4.2 Brentwood Hills 2 tracts · pop 10,249 4.4 Allendale 3 tracts · pop 12,211 4.4 Sterling Ranch 3 tracts · pop 16,449 4.8 Limona 3 tracts · pop 14,731 3.7 Abbey Trace 2 tracts · pop 13,939

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