Neighborhood · Brandon, FL

Sterling Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower

3 census tracts · pop 16,449 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.5/10 · range 2.7–4.1

Sterling Ranch is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Brandon with 3 census tracts and a population of 16,449 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.5/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 42% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,808/month sits 1% higher than the Brandon citywide average ($1,784).

Risk score

3.5

Lower

3 tracts · population-weighted

Sterling Ranch vs Brandon How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

42.1% +26%

Brandon: 33.4%

Average gross rent

$1,808 +1%

Brandon: $1,784

Average HH income

$80,963 +5%

Brandon: $77,068

Poverty rate

13.5% +12%

Brandon: 12.0%

Renter share

60.0% +37%

Brandon: 43.8%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sterling Ranch and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 2.7–4.1

Why Sterling Ranch scores 3.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Rent control risk

42% of income on rent · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts

7.4

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

60% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts

8.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.6–6.6 across tracts

6.6

Economic stress

13.5% below poverty line · Range 1.8–4.6 across tracts

3.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.9–5.2 across tracts

4.2

Risk score comparison

Sterling Ranch vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Sterling Ranch?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.4 points from 2.7 to 4.1. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

4.1 3.5 2.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Sterling Ranch

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057013317	4.1	2,753	58%	$1,863
12057013323	3.5	11,385	38%	$1,754
12057013310	2.7	2,311	43%	$2,012

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 71

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 61%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 57%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 79%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Sterling Ranch

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

467Total filings (sum)
4.70%Avg annual filing rate
8.1%Peak year (2016)
4.58%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,260Total filings 2020-21
8.7Avg monthly observed
7.8Pre-pandemic baseline
1.08×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Sterling Ranch

What is the eviction-risk score for Sterling Ranch?

Sterling Ranch scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Sterling Ranch compare to Brandon overall?

Sterling Ranch scores 1.1 points higher than Brandon overall (2.4/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,808 vs $1,784.

What is the average rent in Sterling Ranch?

Average gross rent in Sterling Ranch is $1,808/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Sterling Ranch residents are renters?

60% of Sterling Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Brandon). The neighborhood has 16,449 residents.

Is Sterling Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?

Sterling Ranch sits in the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Sterling Ranch have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Sterling Ranch is census tract 12057013317 (score 4.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.7 to 4.1, a spread of 1.4 points.

How safe is Sterling Ranch for landlords?

Sterling Ranch carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandon as a whole (2.4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Sterling Ranch?

Sterling Ranch has 17,483 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (34.2%), Hispanic / Latino (32.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sterling Ranch

4.4 Ventura Bay 2 tracts · pop 9,198 3.6 Alexandria Place 3 tracts · pop 11,063 3.3 Winthrop 2 tracts · pop 11,574 3.9 Allendale 3 tracts · pop 12,211 3.8 Limona 3 tracts · pop 14,731 3.1 Winthrop Village 2 tracts · pop 4,676

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Brandon

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sterling Ranch.

3.5 Alexandria Place 3 tracts · pop 11,063 3.4 Brentwood Hills 2 tracts · pop 10,249 3.3 Winthrop 2 tracts · pop 11,574 3.7 Allendale 3 tracts · pop 12,211 3.8 Limona 3 tracts · pop 14,731 4.1 Mariposa 1 tracts · pop 4,836

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