3 census tracts · pop 16,449 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10
· range 3.3–5.2
Sterling Ranch is a 3-tract neighborhood of Brandon, FL and houses 16,449 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.4/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10.
The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 42% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, above the Brandon rate of 33.4%.
Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 3.3 to 5.2. A 1.9-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Filings are well documented here: 467 across 2 observed tracts.
Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.4/10. The worst year on record was 2016, when filings touched 8.1% of renter households. Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Brandon, it ranks #6 by risk, the middle third.
Judgments average 2.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order. The closest comparables inside the same city are Allendale and Alexandria Place. Average gross rent runs $1,808, close to the Brandon average.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.9 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Sterling Ranch vs BrandonHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority75%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport79%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Sterling Ranch
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
467Total filings (sum)
4.70%Avg annual filing rate
8.1%Peak year (2016)
4.58%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
1,260Total filings 2020-21
8.7Avg monthly observed
7.8Pre-pandemic baseline
1.08×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Sterling Ranch
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Sterling Ranch?
Sterling Ranch scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Sterling Ranch compare to Brandon overall?
Sterling Ranch scores 0.1 points higher than Brandon overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 42% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,808 vs $1,784.
Q3
What is the average rent in Sterling Ranch?
Average gross rent in Sterling Ranch is $1,808/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Sterling Ranch residents are renters?
60% of Sterling Ranch households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Brandon). The neighborhood has 16,449 residents.
Q5
Is Sterling Ranch a high social-vulnerability area?
Sterling Ranch sits in the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Sterling Ranch have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Sterling Ranch is census tract 12057013317 (score 5.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.3 to 5.2, a spread of 1.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Sterling Ranch for landlords?
Sterling Ranch carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Brandon as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Sterling Ranch?
Sterling Ranch has 17,483 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (34.2%), Hispanic / Latino (32.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (18.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
