Neighborhood · University, FL

Nowatney Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 18,824 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 4.6–5.5

Nowatney is a hispanic-black neighborhood in University with 6 census tracts and a population of 18,824 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 39% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,191/month sits 1% higher than the University citywide average ($1,177).

Risk score

5.3

Moderate

6 tracts · population-weighted

Nowatney vs University How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

60.9% -4%

University: 63.6%

Average gross rent

$1,191 +1%

University: $1,177

Average HH income

$34,958 -6%

University: $37,174

Poverty rate

36.5% +6%

University: 34.6%

Renter share

87.6% +5%

University: 83.5%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Nowatney and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.6–5.5

Why Nowatney scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.6–5.6 across tracts

5.6

Rent control risk

61% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts

1.2

Tenant organizing strength

88% renter households · Range 1.6–1.6 across tracts

1.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Economic stress

36.5% below poverty line · Range 5.5–10.0 across tracts

9.0

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.8 across tracts

1.3

Risk score comparison

Nowatney vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Nowatney?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 0.9 points from 4.6 to 5.5. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.

Tracts as heat grid

5.5 5.4 5.4 5.2 5.2 4.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in Nowatney

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057010816	5.5	3,624	71%	$1,220
12057010817	5.4	4,801	54%	$1,027
12057010821	5.4	2,881	68%	$1,158
12057010814	5.2	3,210	58%	$1,535
12057010815	5.2	2,107	56%	$1,155
12057010822	4.6	2,201	57%	$1,078

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 96

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 95%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 72%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 86%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 96%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Nowatney

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

6,382Total filings (sum)
15.04%Avg annual filing rate
33.1%Peak year (2009)
10.06%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

3,215Total filings 2020-21
7.7Avg monthly observed
9.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.86×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Nowatney

What is the eviction-risk score for Nowatney?

Nowatney scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Nowatney compare to University overall?

Nowatney scores 3.0 points higher than University overall (2.3/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 64% citywide. Average rent: $1,191 vs $1,177.

What is the average rent in Nowatney?

Average gross rent in Nowatney is $1,191/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Nowatney residents are renters?

88% of Nowatney households are renter-occupied (vs 84% in University). The neighborhood has 18,824 residents.

Is Nowatney a high social-vulnerability area?

Nowatney sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Nowatney have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Nowatney is census tract 12057010816 (score 5.5/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 5.5, a spread of 0.9 points.

How safe is Nowatney for landlords?

Nowatney carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to University as a whole (2.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Nowatney?

Nowatney has 18,887 residents (Hispanic-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (44.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Nowatney

5.4 The Oaks 7 tracts · pop 24,079 5.1 North Tampa Heights 4 tracts · pop 15,343 5.5 Altos Verdes 9 tracts · pop 37,245 2.9 Angelina Pines 2 tracts · pop 9,058 5.1 Vieux Carre 2 tracts · pop 10,815 4 Armenia Heights 5 tracts · pop 21,968

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside University

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Nowatney.

5.5 The Oaks 7 tracts · pop 24,079

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