6 census tracts · pop 18,824 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10
· range 4.6–4.6
Nowatney spans 6 census tracts of University, FL and houses 18,824 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.6/10, Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 39%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.
This is a renter market: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Annualized rent equals 41% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.
61% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Running cool is housing-court posture, at 1/10.
On the high side is economic stress at 9/10. Court records carry 6,382 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts.
The worst year on record was 2009, when filings touched 33.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 9.7% in 2016, is well off that peak.
Social vulnerability runs high at 9.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 6 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0 points apart at the extremes.
With little internal variation, 4.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
6 tracts · population-weighted
Nowatney vs UniversityHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority86%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport96%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Nowatney
Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
6,382Total filings (sum)
15.04%Avg annual filing rate
33.1%Peak year (2009)
10.06%Latest filed (2016)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
3,215Total filings 2020-21
7.7Avg monthly observed
9.0Pre-pandemic baseline
0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).
Frequently asked
About Nowatney
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Nowatney?
Nowatney scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Nowatney compare to University overall?
Nowatney scores 1.4 points higher than University overall (3.2/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 64% citywide. Average rent: $1,191 vs $1,177.
Q3
What is the average rent in Nowatney?
Average gross rent in Nowatney is $1,191/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Nowatney residents are renters?
88% of Nowatney households are renter-occupied (vs 84% in University). The neighborhood has 18,824 residents.
Q5
Is Nowatney a high social-vulnerability area?
Nowatney sits in the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Nowatney have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Nowatney is census tract 12057010817 (score 4.6/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.6 to 4.6, a spread of 0 points.
Q7
How safe is Nowatney for landlords?
Nowatney carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to University as a whole (3.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Nowatney?
Nowatney has 18,887 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (44.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.3%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
