Nowatney Eviction Risk: Moderate , University

Cost burden runs 71% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10.

Annualized rent equals 50% of average household income of $29,066, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 41%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 30.3% against 11.3% nationally.

On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 47.5% against 31.5% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,878 filings here across 11 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2000, when 32.7% of renter households were served.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.