Nowatney Eviction Risk: Moderate , University
Tract 12057010817 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,801 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 12057010817 sits in the Nowatney area of University, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.6/10. Population here is 4,801. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across University and the region
Centroid at 28.0789, -82.4451 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nowatney scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Nowatney compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,508Total filings over 11 yrs
- 14.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.6%Peak (2009)
- 151Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 611Total filings 2020-21
- 8.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.81×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nowatney. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Nowatney
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 30.9% against 11.3% nationally. Well under the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 1/10.
The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 9/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $37,414 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,508 filings here across 11 tracked years. At $1,027 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of University commands.
The worst year on record was 2009, when 17.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 14.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 12057010817
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010817?
What is the average rent in tract 12057010817?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010817?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010817?
Is tract 12057010817 considered part of Nowatney?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010817?
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010817 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12057010817 compare to University overall?
Highest-risk tracts in University
Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.