Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Nowatney Eviction Risk: Moderate , University
Tract 12057010817 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 4,801 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
The Nowatney neighborhood of University anchors census tract 12057010817, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
54% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,027 monthly, set against $37,414 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,961
Renter share59.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate36.0%
Median income$37,414
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
77
th percentile
High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University and the region
Centroid at 28.0789, -82.4451 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nowatney scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
36.0% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,027 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
1.0
How Nowatney compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 97%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,508Total filings over 11 yrs
- 14.47%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.6%Peak (2009)
- 151Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 23% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 611Total filings 2020-21
- 8.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 10.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.81×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nowatney. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nowatney
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,508 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 14.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 17.6% of renter households in 2009.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.81x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010817
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010817?
Census tract 12057010817 in the Nowatney neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010817?
Median gross rent is $1,027/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010817?
36.0% of residents in tract 12057010817 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,801.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010817?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 68th, minority 81th, housing 97th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010817 considered part of Nowatney?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010817 fall within Nowatney (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010817?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,508 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010817 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.47% of renter households, peaking at 17.6% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010817 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.81× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057010817 compare to University overall?
Tract 12057010817 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of University at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University
Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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