Nowatney Eviction Risk: Moderate , University
Tract 12057010815 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,107 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 12057010815 in the Nowatney area of University, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,107. The severe-burden share is 48%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across University and the region
Centroid at 28.0678, -82.4335 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nowatney scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Nowatney compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,041Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2004)
- 85Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 468Total filings 2020-21
- 6.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nowatney. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What drives eviction risk in Nowatney
Adults with no health insurance runs 38.1% against 11.3% nationally. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.6/10.
Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $31,641, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The poverty rate is 39%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.
Running cool, housing-court posture reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 46.6% against 31.5% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 1,041 evictions over 11 years of observation. Cost burden runs 56% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County.
Filings peaked in 2004 at 7.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 8.3% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 12057010815
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010815?
What is the average rent in tract 12057010815?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010815?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010815?
Is tract 12057010815 considered part of Nowatney?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010815?
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010815 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12057010815 compare to University overall?
Highest-risk tracts in University
Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.