Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Nowatney Eviction Risk: Moderate , University
Tract 12057010815 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,107 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Nowatney in University is where census tract 12057010815 sits, home to 2,107 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.1/10. It lands near the 43rd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
56% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 48% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,155 a month against an average household income of $31,641 a year, roughly 44% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 56%
Stable renters 44%
Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units862
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate38.5%
Median income$31,641
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across University and the region
Centroid at 28.0678, -82.4335 · click any tract to drill in
Why Nowatney scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from University
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.5% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$1,155 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from University
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from University
1.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from University
1.0
How Nowatney compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 89%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,041Total filings over 11 yrs
- 8.26%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.4%Peak (2004)
- 85Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 18% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 468Total filings 2020-21
- 6.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.94×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Nowatney. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Nowatney
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 9.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from University, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Hillsborough County average of 5.1 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,041 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 8.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.4% of renter households in 2004.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.94x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057010815
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057010815?
Census tract 12057010815 in the Nowatney neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057010815?
Median gross rent is $1,155/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057010815?
38.5% of residents in tract 12057010815 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,107.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057010815?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 85th, minority 93th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 12057010815 considered part of Nowatney?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057010815 fall within Nowatney (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057010815?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,041 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057010815 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.26% of renter households, peaking at 7.4% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057010815 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.94× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057010815 compare to University overall?
Tract 12057010815 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of University at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in University
Top eight tracts in University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Tampa Heights
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Nowatney
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
The Oaks
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
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