Neighborhood · Valrico, FL

Angel Run Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 5,916 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 2.9/10 · range 2.9–2.9

Angel Run is a white-black neighborhood in Valrico with 1 census tract and a population of 5,916 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 2.9/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 61% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,188/month sits 39% lower than the Valrico citywide average ($1,937).

Risk score

2.9

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Angel Run vs Valrico How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

60.8% +83%

Valrico: 33.2%

Average gross rent

$1,188 -39%

Valrico: $1,937

Average HH income

$76,784 -22%

Valrico: $98,451

Poverty rate

11.5% +33%

Valrico: 8.6%

Renter share

25.2% +20%

Valrico: 21.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Angel Run and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 2.9–2.9

Why Angel Run scores 2.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts

5.3

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts

5.8

Rent control risk

61% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts

7.9

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Tenant organizing strength

25% renter households · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts

4.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Economic stress

11.5% below poverty line · Range 2.9–2.9 across tracts

2.9

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts

1.0

Risk score comparison

Angel Run vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Angel Run

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12057012210	2.9	5,916	61%	$1,188

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 68

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 43%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 72%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 71%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 80%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Angel Run

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

297Total filings (sum)
7.19%Avg annual filing rate
12.4%Peak year (2000)
3.38%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

161Total filings 2020-21
2.2Avg monthly observed
1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
1.14×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Angel Run

What is the eviction-risk score for Angel Run?

Angel Run scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Angel Run compare to Valrico overall?

Angel Run scores 0.7 points higher than Valrico overall (2.2/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $1,188 vs $1,937.

What is the average rent in Angel Run?

Average gross rent in Angel Run is $1,188/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Angel Run residents are renters?

25% of Angel Run households are renter-occupied (vs 21% in Valrico). The neighborhood has 5,916 residents.

Is Angel Run a high social-vulnerability area?

Angel Run sits in the 68th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Angel Run for landlords?

Angel Run carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (2.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Valrico as a whole (2.2/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Angel Run?

Angel Run has 6,419 residents (White-Black Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (45.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (30.2%), Hispanic / Latino (18.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Angel Run

2.3 Abbey Grove 3 tracts · pop 16,567 3.5 Brentwood Hills 2 tracts · pop 10,249 2.8 Abbey Trace 2 tracts · pop 13,939 3.8 Limona 3 tracts · pop 14,731 3.9 Allendale 3 tracts · pop 12,211 2.6 The District 2 tracts · pop 8,300

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Valrico

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Angel Run.

3.1 Arista 1 tracts · pop 5,286 2.2 Erin Arbor 1 tracts · pop 5,025 2.1 Abbey Grove 3 tracts · pop 16,567 1.8 Twin Lakes of Brandon 1 tracts · pop 4,491 1.2 River Hills 1 tracts · pop 4,958

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