Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Pelican Sound Golf & River Club Eviction Risk: Lower , Estero

Tract 12071050319 · Lee, FL · pop 2,536 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 12071050319 sits in the Pelican Sound Golf & River Club area of Estero, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 2,536 residents. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Risk score

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 6% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units1,175

Renter share10.3%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate2.3%

Median income$136,938

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Estero and the region

Centroid at 26.4237, -81.8412 · click any tract to drill in

Why Pelican Sound Golf & River Club scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Estero

4.6

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.0

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

2.3% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Estero

6.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Estero

3.9

Housing court bias

Inherited from Estero

4.9

How Pelican Sound Golf & River Club compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
43%Household composition
6%Racial/ethnic minority
18%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Pelican Sound Golf & River Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Pelican Sound Golf & River Club

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.

43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Lee County average of 52.2%. Against the Lee County average of 3.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12071050319

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12071050319?

Census tract 12071050319 in the Pelican Sound Golf & River Club neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12071050319?

2.3% of residents in tract 12071050319 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,536.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12071050319?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 43th, minority 6th, housing 18th.

Is tract 12071050319 considered part of Pelican Sound Golf & River Club?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12071050319 fall within Pelican Sound Golf & River Club (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12071050319 compare to Estero overall?

Tract 12071050319 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Estero at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Estero; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Estero

Top eight tracts in Estero ranked by composite eviction-risk score.