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Census Tract · Ranked #20,889 of 84,120 nationally

Bayshore Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12081000307 · Manatee, FL · pop 3,804

Census tract 12081000307 belongs to Bayshore Gardens, Florida. It is home to 3,804 residents and scores 5.9/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 72% of US census tracts.

About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,437 a month against an average household income of $52,556 a year, roughly 33% of income at the averages. About 41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 19% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,290
Renter share41.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate29.0%
Median income$52,556

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Bayshore Gardens
Very High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 93 tracts In Manatee
Very High
Within state
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#462 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#20,889 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayshore Gardens and the region

Centroid at 27.4441, -82.5856 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayshore Gardens scores 5.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.0% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,437 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
7.8

How Bayshore Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bayshore Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.35.3This tracttract 000307Bayshore Gardens: 2.72.7Bayshore Gardensparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 273Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 11.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.3%Peak (2003)
  • 49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120810003072002: 59 filings (10.45/100 renter HHs)2003: 120 filings (21.25/100 renter HHs)2015: 45 filings (5.76/100 renter HHs)2016: 49 filings (7.53/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayshore Gardens

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bayshore Gardens, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Manatee County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 273 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 11.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 21.3% of renter households in 2003.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081000307

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000307?

Census tract 12081000307 in Bayshore Gardens scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12081000307?

Median gross rent is $1,437/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000307?

29.0% of residents in tract 12081000307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,804.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 96th, minority 72th, housing 98th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081000307?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 273 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12081000307 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.25% of renter households, peaking at 21.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12081000307 compare to Bayshore Gardens overall?

Tract 12081000307 scores 5.3/10, higher than the parent city of Bayshore Gardens at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bayshore Gardens; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bayshore Gardens

Top eight tracts in Bayshore Gardens ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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