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Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Bayshore Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12081000307 · Manatee, FL · pop 3,804

Tract 12081000307 sits in Bayshore Gardens, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. Population here is 3,804. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 23% Stable renters 19% Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units1,290
Renter share41.2%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate29.0%
Median income$52,556

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Bayshore Gardens
High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 93 tracts In Manatee
Very High
Within state
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#431 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,808 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayshore Gardens and the region

Centroid at 27.4441, -82.5856 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayshore Gardens scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
29.0% poverty · this tract
7.3
Supply constraint
$1,437 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
7.8

How Bayshore Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bayshore Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0003074.1Bayshore Gardensparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 273Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 11.25%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.3%Peak (2003)
  • 49Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12081000307
Filings dropped 17% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayshore Gardens

Adults with no health insurance runs 29.1% against 11.3% nationally. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $52,556, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The poverty rate is 29%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 46.0% against 31.5% nationally.

Against the Manatee County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The filing record is not thin: 273 evictions over 4 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 21.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 11.2% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081000307

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000307?

Census tract 12081000307 in Bayshore Gardens scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12081000307?

Median gross rent is $1,437/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000307?

29.0% of residents in tract 12081000307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,804.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 96th, minority 72th, housing 98th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081000307?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 273 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12081000307 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.25% of renter households, peaking at 21.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12081000307 compare to Bayshore Gardens overall?

Tract 12081000307 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bayshore Gardens at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bayshore Gardens; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bayshore Gardens

Top eight tracts in Bayshore Gardens ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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