Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Casa Loma Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bayshore Gardens
Tract 12081000314 · Manatee, FL · pop 2,375 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
The Casa Loma neighborhood of Bayshore Gardens anchors census tract 12081000314, which lands at 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #32,094 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 62% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $738 a month while the average household earns $32,098 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,473
Renter share27.9%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$32,098
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bayshore Gardens and the region
Centroid at 27.4357, -82.5693 · click any tract to drill in
Why Casa Loma scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$738 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
7.8
How Casa Loma compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Casa Loma. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Casa Loma
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bayshore Gardens, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Manatee County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12081000314
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000314?
Census tract 12081000314 in the Casa Loma neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12081000314?
Median gross rent is $738/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000314?
21.2% of residents in tract 12081000314 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,375.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000314?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 75th, minority 49th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 12081000314 considered part of Casa Loma?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081000314 fall within Casa Loma (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12081000314 compare to Bayshore Gardens overall?
Tract 12081000314 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Bayshore Gardens at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bayshore Gardens; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bayshore Gardens
Top eight tracts in Bayshore Gardens ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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