Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally
Bayshore Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12081000312 · Manatee, FL · pop 1,808
12081000312 is a census tract in Bayshore Gardens, FL. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,808 residents. 32% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Manatee County average of 53.5%.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units1,068
Renter share16.6%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$61,310
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
National
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bayshore Gardens and the region
Centroid at 27.4332, -82.5869 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayshore Gardens scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,591 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
7.8
How Bayshore Gardens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayshore Gardens
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 4.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Manatee County average of 4.1 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,591, close to the Bayshore Gardens average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $61,310.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12081000312
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000312?
Census tract 12081000312 in Bayshore Gardens scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12081000312?
Median gross rent is $1,591/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000312?
7.4% of residents in tract 12081000312 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,808.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000312?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 51th, minority 42th, housing 53th.
Q5
How does tract 12081000312 compare to Bayshore Gardens overall?
Tract 12081000312 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Bayshore Gardens at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bayshore Gardens; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bayshore Gardens
Top eight tracts in Bayshore Gardens ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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