Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Bayshore Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12081001002 · Manatee, FL · pop 2,734 · 8% of tract blocks fall in Bayshore Gardens
In Bayshore Gardens, census tract 12081001002 scores 5.6/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 62nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
84% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 74% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,392 monthly, set against $43,205 in average yearly household income, roughly 39% of income at the averages. About 17% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,338
Renter share17.0%
SVI overall0.81
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$43,205
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
82
th percentile
High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bayshore Gardens and the region
Centroid at 27.4207, -82.5821 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayshore Gardens scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,392 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
7.8
How Bayshore Gardens compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 81
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 37%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayshore Gardens
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bayshore Gardens, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Manatee County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 81st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12081001002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081001002?
Census tract 12081001002 in Bayshore Gardens scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12081001002?
Median gross rent is $1,392/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12081001002?
18.7% of residents in tract 12081001002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,734.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12081001002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 81th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 69th, minority 37th, housing 73th.
Q5
How does tract 12081001002 compare to Bayshore Gardens overall?
Tract 12081001002 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Bayshore Gardens at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bayshore Gardens; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bayshore Gardens
Top eight tracts in Bayshore Gardens ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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