Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally

Bayshore Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12081000901 · Manatee, FL · pop 5,719 · 52% of tract blocks fall in Bayshore Gardens

In Bayshore Gardens, census tract 12081000901 scores 5.5/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #35,367 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 80% of renter households, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,444 a month against an average household income of $66,389 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 18% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 4% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,922
Renter share17.9%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate15.3%
Median income$66,389

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Bayshore Gardens
Elevated
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 93 tracts In Manatee
High
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,537 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,389 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayshore Gardens and the region

Centroid at 27.4161, -82.5723 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bayshore Gardens scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.3% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,444 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bayshore Gardens
7.8

How Bayshore Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bayshore Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 000901Bayshore Gardens: 2.72.7Bayshore Gardensparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 135Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 7.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.4%Peak (2015)
  • 26Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120810009012002: 34 filings (8.10/100 renter HHs)2003: 32 filings (7.62/100 renter HHs)2015: 43 filings (10.39/100 renter HHs)2016: 26 filings (5.20/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 24% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bayshore Gardens

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bayshore Gardens, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Manatee County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 135 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 7.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.4% of renter households in 2015.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081000901

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000901?

Census tract 12081000901 in Bayshore Gardens scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12081000901?

Median gross rent is $1,444/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000901?

15.3% of residents in tract 12081000901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,719.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 81th, minority 48th, housing 69th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081000901?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 135 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12081000901 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.83% of renter households, peaking at 10.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12081000901 compare to Bayshore Gardens overall?

Tract 12081000901 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bayshore Gardens at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bayshore Gardens; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bayshore Gardens

Top eight tracts in Bayshore Gardens ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related