Bayshore Gardens Eviction Risk: Moderate

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.4/10. Set annual rent against average income of $41,862 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

20% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10. At $1,174 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Bayshore Gardens commands.

It sits 0.7 points above the Manatee County average of 4.1. That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 50% of renters. 44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.