Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Palma Sola Bay Club Eviction Risk: Lower , Bradenton

Tract 12081000409 · Manatee, FL · pop 2,421 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Here is how census tract 12081000409, in the Palma Sola Bay Club neighborhood of Bradenton, looks to a landlord: a 5.7/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,421. On the national scale it ranks #29,043 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 39% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,081 a month while the average household earns $72,845 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 31% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.8

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 10% Owners 70%

Tract context

Occupied units1,155

Renter share30.8%

SVI overall0.30

Poverty rate13.0%

Median income$72,845

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bradenton and the region

Centroid at 27.4674, -82.6307 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palma Sola Bay Club scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bradenton

4.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.2

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

13.0% poverty · this tract

3.3

Supply constraint

$2,081 rent vs county FMR

6.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bradenton

8.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bradenton

8.4

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bradenton

7.5

How Palma Sola Bay Club compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

34%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
35%Racial/ethnic minority
15%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palma Sola Bay Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palma Sola Bay Club

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bradenton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Manatee County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 30th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081000409

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081000409?

Census tract 12081000409 in the Palma Sola Bay Club neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12081000409?

Median gross rent is $2,081/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081000409?

13.0% of residents in tract 12081000409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,421.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081000409?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 66th, minority 35th, housing 15th.

Is tract 12081000409 considered part of Palma Sola Bay Club?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081000409 fall within Palma Sola Bay Club (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 12081000409 compare to Bradenton overall?

Tract 12081000409 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bradenton at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bradenton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bradenton

Top eight tracts in Bradenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.