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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Palma Sola Bay Club Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bradenton

Tract 12081001106 · Manatee, FL · pop 4,127 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 12081001106 in the Palma Sola Bay Club area of Bradenton, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 28% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,969
Renter share68.4%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate23.4%
Median income$51,307

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Palma Sola Bay Club
Very High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#5 of 22 tracts In Bradenton
High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 93 tracts In Manatee
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#259 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bradenton and the region

Centroid at 27.4557, -82.6230 · click any tract to drill in

Why Palma Sola Bay Club scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bradenton
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
23.4% poverty · this tract
5.9
Supply constraint
$1,465 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bradenton
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bradenton
8.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bradenton
7.5

How Palma Sola Bay Club compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Palma Sola Bay Club risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0011064.4Bradentonparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 152Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 7.77%Avg annual filing rate
  • 17.2%Peak (2003)
  • 18Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12081001106
Filings dropped 57% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Palma Sola Bay Club. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Palma Sola Bay Club

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $51,307, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.4/10.

68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Manatee County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.4/10.

The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Cost burden runs 59% here against 53.5% across Manatee County.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 152 filings here across 4 tracked years. At $1,465 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Bradenton commands.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 17.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.8% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12081001106

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12081001106?

Census tract 12081001106 in the Palma Sola Bay Club neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12081001106?

Median gross rent is $1,465/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12081001106?

23.4% of residents in tract 12081001106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,127.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12081001106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 90th, minority 63th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 12081001106 considered part of Palma Sola Bay Club?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12081001106 fall within Palma Sola Bay Club (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12081001106?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 152 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12081001106 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.77% of renter households, peaking at 17.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12081001106 compare to Bradenton overall?

Tract 12081001106 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Bradenton at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bradenton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bradenton

Top eight tracts in Bradenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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