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Neighborhood · Ranked #77,226 of 84,120 nationally

Crystal Cay Eviction Risk: Lower , Cutler Bay

Tract 12086010620 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,973 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 12086010620 in Crystal Cay in Cutler Bay ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,973 residents. That is riskier than about 62% of US census tracts.

About 87% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 61% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,501 a month while the average household earns $110,766 a year, roughly 38% of income at the averages. Renters make up 14% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 2% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units995
Renter share14.2%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate0.1%
Median income$110,766

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In Crystal Cay
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 13 tracts In Cutler Bay
Very Low
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#679 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Very Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#4,735 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cutler Bay and the region

Centroid at 25.5646, -80.3380 · click any tract to drill in

Why Crystal Cay scores 1.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cutler Bay
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
0.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cutler Bay
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cutler Bay
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cutler Bay
6.8

How Crystal Cay compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Crystal Cay risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.71.7This tracttract 010620Cutler Bay: 2.52.5Cutler Bayparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 40Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.71×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (3.61× baseline)2022-09-01: 2 filings (6.06× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-07-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (3.61× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (3.03× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Crystal Cay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Crystal Cay

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cutler Bay, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 33rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.71x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086010620

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086010620?

Census tract 12086010620 in the Crystal Cay neighborhood scores 1.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086010620?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 87% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086010620?

0.1% of residents in tract 12086010620 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,973.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086010620?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 52th, minority 89th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 12086010620 considered part of Crystal Cay?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086010620 fall within Crystal Cay (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086010620 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.71× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086010620 compare to Cutler Bay overall?

Tract 12086010620 scores 1.7/10, lower than the parent city of Cutler Bay at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cutler Bay; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cutler Bay

Top eight tracts in Cutler Bay ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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