Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
South Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami Beach
Tract 12086004102 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,473 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 12086004102 covers part of the South Beach area of Miami Beach, FL, and scores 4.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,473 residents. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,148
Renter share11.1%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$189,605
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
4
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami Beach and the region
Centroid at 25.7794, -80.1516 · click any tract to drill in
Why South Beach scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami Beach
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami Beach
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami Beach
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami Beach
7.6
How South Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 21%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 72%Grade A
- 8%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 13Total filings over 2 yrs
- 1.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2016)
- 8Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 11Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.73×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within South Beach. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in South Beach
At $3,501 a month, rents run 92% over what the rest of Miami Beach commands. The voucher gap is 50.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.6/10.
Against Miami-Dade County at 57.9%, 44% of renters here are cost-burdened. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Disability prevalence runs 18.7% against 31.5% nationally. Court records carry 13 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.9% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground A ("Best"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086004102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086004102?
Census tract 12086004102 in the South Beach neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086004102?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086004102?
4.3% of residents in tract 12086004102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,473.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086004102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 21th, minority 59th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 12086004102 considered part of South Beach?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086004102 fall within South Beach (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086004102?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 13 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086004102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.41% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086004102 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.73× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086004102 compare to Miami Beach overall?
Tract 12086004102 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Miami Beach at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086004102 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami Beach
Top eight tracts in Miami Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Española Way
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Española Way
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Beach
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
North Beach
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
South Beach
7.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Española Way
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
South Beach
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086004103
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
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