Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Miami Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12086003603 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 1,676 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Here is how census tract 12086003603, in the Downtown Miami area of Miami eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 1,676. On the national scale it ranks #50,806 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,380 a month against an average household income of $55,194 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 93% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,018
Renter share92.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$55,194
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7753, -80.2053 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Miami scores 4.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,380 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Downtown Miami compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 50%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 296Total filings 2020-21
- 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.36×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Miami. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Miami
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 6.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Miami eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 3.36x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086003603
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003603?
Census tract 12086003603 in the Downtown Miami neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086003603?
Median gross rent is $1,380/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003603?
15.2% of residents in tract 12086003603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,676.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003603?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 55th, minority 88th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 12086003603 considered part of Downtown Miami?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003603 fall within Downtown Miami (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086003603 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086003603 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086003603 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12086003603 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Downtown Miami
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Wynwood
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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