Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Miami Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12086003604 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,847 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 4.9/10, tract 12086003604 in the Downtown Miami area of Miami, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. This is renter territory: 93% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,232
Renter share93.3%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$54,031
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
45
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7709, -80.2060 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Miami scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$1,641 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Downtown Miami compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 76%Socioeconomic
- 25%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 81%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 258Total filings 2020-21
- 3.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 3.07×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Miami. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Miami
Adults with no health insurance runs 31.5% against 11.3% nationally. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $54,031, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2/10.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.2/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086003604
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003604?
Census tract 12086003604 in the Downtown Miami neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086003604?
Median gross rent is $1,641/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003604?
12.9% of residents in tract 12086003604 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,847.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003604?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 76th, household 25th, minority 88th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 12086003604 considered part of Downtown Miami?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003604 fall within Downtown Miami (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086003604 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 3.07× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086003604 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086003604 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12086003604 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Downtown Miami
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086001903
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Overtown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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