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Census Tract · Ranked #47,006 of 84,120 nationally

Alafaya Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12095016731 · Orange, FL · pop 7,577 · 69% of tract blocks fall in Alafaya

Alafaya anchors census tract 12095016731, which lands at 5.3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 50th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,862 a month while the average household earns $90,625 a year, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 61% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 35% Owners 39%
Tract context
Occupied units1,874
Renter share61.0%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate4.8%
Median income$90,625

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileBottomTop
#8 of 17 tracts In Alafaya
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileBottomTop
#60 of 267 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileBottomTop
#322 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileBottomTop
#47,006 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alafaya and the region

Centroid at 28.4835, -81.1616 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alafaya scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alafaya
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.8% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$1,862 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alafaya
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alafaya
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alafaya
6.0

How Alafaya compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alafaya risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 016731Alafaya: 4.24.2Alafayaparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000-2018)

  • 109Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 5.16%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.3%Peak (2006)
  • 17Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120950167312000: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2001: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (0.99/100 renter HHs)2004: 8 filings (7.94/100 renter HHs)2005: 18 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)2006: 35 filings (8.25/100 renter HHs)2007: 30 filings (7.07/100 renter HHs)2016: 17 filings (2.49/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alafaya

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Alafaya eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 64th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 109 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 5.2% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.3% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095016731

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095016731?

Census tract 12095016731 in Alafaya scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095016731?

Median gross rent is $1,862/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095016731?

4.8% of residents in tract 12095016731 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,577.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095016731?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 13th, minority 75th, housing 98th.

Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095016731?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 109 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 12095016731 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.16% of renter households, peaking at 8.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q6

How does tract 12095016731 compare to Alafaya overall?

Tract 12095016731 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Alafaya at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alafaya eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alafaya

Top eight tracts in Alafaya ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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