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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Timber Springs Eviction Risk: Lower , Alafaya

Tract 12095016745 · Orange, FL · pop 4,563 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 12095016745 sits in the Timber Springs area of Alafaya eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 4,563. Against Orange County at 51.4%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 10% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,383
Renter share14.0%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$91,784

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Timber Springs
Very High
Within parent city
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 17 tracts In Alafaya
Very Low
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#228 of 267 tracts In Orange
Very Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Alafaya and the region

Centroid at 28.5527, -81.1510 · click any tract to drill in

Why Timber Springs scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Alafaya
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$2,263 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Alafaya
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Alafaya
7.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Alafaya
6.0

How Timber Springs compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Timber Springs risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0167454.0Alafayaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Timber Springs. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Timber Springs

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.3/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Severe burden reaches 19%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.8/10.

It sits 1.2 points below the Orange County average of 4.2. The voucher gap is 15.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $2,263 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Alafaya commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095016745

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095016745?

Census tract 12095016745 in the Timber Springs neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095016745?

Median gross rent is $2,263/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095016745?

5.3% of residents in tract 12095016745 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,563.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095016745?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 27th, minority 79th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 12095016745 considered part of Timber Springs?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095016745 fall within Timber Springs (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12095016745 compare to Alafaya overall?

Tract 12095016745 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Alafaya at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Alafaya eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Alafaya

Top eight tracts in Alafaya ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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