Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Holiday
Tract 12101030409 · Pasco, FL · pop 2,599 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 12101030409 in the Forest Ridge area of Holiday ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,599 residents. That is riskier than roughly 50% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
43% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,391 a month against an average household income of $58,750 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 20% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,114
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$58,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Holiday and the region
Centroid at 28.1910, -82.7571 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Ridge scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Holiday
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,391 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holiday
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holiday
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holiday
8.4
How Forest Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 72
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 87%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 182Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.1%Peak (2011)
- 16Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Holiday, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pasco County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 182 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 5.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.1% of renter households in 2011.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12101030409
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12101030409?
Census tract 12101030409 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12101030409?
Median gross rent is $1,391/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12101030409?
9.4% of residents in tract 12101030409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,599.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12101030409?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 32th, minority 44th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 12101030409 considered part of Forest Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12101030409 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12101030409?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 182 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 12101030409 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.84% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12101030409 compare to Holiday overall?
Tract 12101030409 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Holiday at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holiday; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Holiday
Top eight tracts in Holiday ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Forest Ridge
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12101030501
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12101030602
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Forest Ridge
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12101030502
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12101030408
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Forest Ridge
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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