Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Holiday

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $35,804, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Pasco County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 410 filings here across 13 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.8% against 11.3% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2004, when 27.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 11.9% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.