Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #52,479 of 84,120 nationally
Golden Crest Eviction Risk: Lower , Dunedin
Tract 12103026914 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,989 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 12103026914 sits in the Golden Crest area of Dunedin, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.8/10. Population here is 3,989. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 84%
Tract context
Occupied units2,048
Renter share16.3%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$62,094
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
50
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dunedin and the region
Centroid at 28.0130, -82.7685 · click any tract to drill in
Why Golden Crest scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dunedin
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,928 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunedin
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunedin
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunedin
6.4
How Golden Crest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 22%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 60Total filings 2020-21
- 0.8Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.14×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Golden Crest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Golden Crest
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $62,094, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Pinellas County average of 53.4%. At $1,928 a month, rents run 15% over what the rest of Dunedin commands.
On the national scale it lands near the 38th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103026914
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103026914?
Census tract 12103026914 in the Golden Crest neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103026914?
Median gross rent is $1,928/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103026914?
6.6% of residents in tract 12103026914 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,989.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103026914?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 26th, minority 22th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 12103026914 considered part of Golden Crest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103026914 fall within Golden Crest (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103026914 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.14× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103026914 compare to Dunedin overall?
Tract 12103026914 scores 3.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Dunedin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunedin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dunedin
Top eight tracts in Dunedin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Golden Crest
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Spanish Pines
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Golden Crest
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbor View
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Victoria Palms
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Barrington Hills
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Spanish Pines
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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