Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Golden Crest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Dunedin
Tract 12103027107 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,674 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
12103027107 is a census tract in the Golden Crest area of Dunedin, FL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 1,674 residents. Cost burden runs 37% here against 53.4% across Pinellas County.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units877
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate22.1%
Median income$49,023
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Dunedin and the region
Centroid at 28.0206, -82.7793 · click any tract to drill in
Why Golden Crest scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Dunedin
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.1% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,140 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Dunedin
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Dunedin
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Dunedin
6.4
How Golden Crest compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 46
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 13%Household composition
- 10%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 40Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Golden Crest. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Golden Crest
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. At $1,140 a month, rents run 32% under what the rest of Dunedin commands. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.1/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $49,023.
38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027107?
Census tract 12103027107 in the Golden Crest neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027107?
Median gross rent is $1,140/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027107?
22.1% of residents in tract 12103027107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,674.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 13th, minority 10th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027107 considered part of Golden Crest?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027107 fall within Golden Crest (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027107 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103027107 compare to Dunedin overall?
Tract 12103027107 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Dunedin at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Dunedin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Dunedin
Top eight tracts in Dunedin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Dunedin Cove
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Spanish Pines
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Golden Crest
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Harbor View
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Golden Crest
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Victoria Palms
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Barrington Hills
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Spanish Pines
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Related