Neighborhood · Dunedin, FL

Golden Crest Eviction Risk: Moderate

3 census tracts · pop 7,964 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.5/10 · range 3.8–5.4

Golden Crest is a 3-tract neighborhood of Dunedin, FL, population 7,964. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.5/10, Moderate tier. Against a Dunedin baseline of 34.6%, 51% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.3/10.

Set annual rent against average household income of $57,292 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 3.8 to 5.4, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 3/10. That places it #1 of 4 neighborhoods in Dunedin.

Average gross rent runs $1,583, close to the Dunedin average. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.5 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score

4.5

Moderate

3 tracts · population-weighted

Golden Crest vs Dunedin How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

51.1% +48%

Dunedin: 34.6%

Average gross rent

$1,583 -5%

Dunedin: $1,675

Average HH income

$57,292 -16%

Dunedin: $68,068

Poverty rate

12.8% +47%

Dunedin: 8.7%

Renter share

29.5% +2%

Dunedin: 28.9%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Golden Crest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 3.8–5.4

Why Golden Crest scores 4.5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Rent control risk

51% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.3–1.3 across tracts

1.3

Tenant organizing strength

30% renter households · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts

6.4

Economic stress

12.8% below poverty line · Range 1.6–5.5 across tracts

3.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.7 across tracts

3.0

Risk score comparison

Golden Crest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Golden Crest?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.6 points from 3.8 to 5.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.4 5.0 3.8

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

3 tracts in Golden Crest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12103027107	5.4	1,674	37%	$1,140
12103027108	5	2,301	45%	$1,308
12103026914	3.8	3,989	60%	$1,928

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 59

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 56%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 33%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 21%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 83%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Golden Crest

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

139Total filings 2020-21
0.7Avg monthly observed
0.8Pre-pandemic baseline
0.86×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Golden Crest

What is the eviction-risk score for Golden Crest?

Golden Crest scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Golden Crest compare to Dunedin overall?

Golden Crest scores 0.5 points higher than Dunedin overall (4/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,583 vs $1,675.

What is the average rent in Golden Crest?

Average gross rent in Golden Crest is $1,583/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Golden Crest residents are renters?

30% of Golden Crest households are renter-occupied (vs 29% in Dunedin). The neighborhood has 7,964 residents.

Is Golden Crest a high social-vulnerability area?

Golden Crest sits in the 59th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Golden Crest have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Golden Crest is census tract 12103027107 (score 5.4/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 5.4, a spread of 1.6 points.

How safe is Golden Crest for landlords?

Golden Crest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Dunedin as a whole (4/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Golden Crest?

Golden Crest has 8,126 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.8%), Other / Multiracial (3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Golden Crest

3.5 Victoria Palms 2 tracts · pop 6,166 4.3 Dunedin Cove 3 tracts · pop 14,106 3.8 Barrington Hills 3 tracts · pop 10,537 3.6 Spanish Pines 4 tracts · pop 18,638 3.1 Raintree Village 2 tracts · pop 7,602 4 Harbor View 2 tracts · pop 5,800

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Dunedin

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Golden Crest.

3.7 Harbor View 2 tracts · pop 5,800 3.6 Spanish Pines 4 tracts · pop 18,638 3 Dunedin Isles 1 tracts · pop 3,978

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