Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,321 of 84,120 nationally
Highland Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Palm Harbor
Tract 12103027316 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,811 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Eviction risk in the Highland Lakes area of Palm Harbor centers on tract 12103027316, which scores $1/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,811 residents. It lands near the 12th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
10% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,488 a month while the average household earns $67,467 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,785
Renter share14.7%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$67,467
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
41
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Palm Harbor and the region
Centroid at 28.0898, -82.7278 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland Lakes scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,488 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Harbor
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Harbor
7.1
How Highland Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 42
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 23%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 132Total filings over 16 yrs
- 3.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.9%Peak (2004)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 14Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.33×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Highland Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Highland Lakes
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Palm Harbor, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.33x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027316
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027316?
Census tract 12103027316 in the Highland Lakes neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027316?
Median gross rent is $1,488/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027316?
6.9% of residents in tract 12103027316 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,811.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027316?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 23th, household 62th, minority 17th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027316 considered part of Highland Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027316 fall within Highland Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027316?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 132 eviction filings across 16 validated years in tract 12103027316 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.31% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027316 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.33× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103027316 compare to Palm Harbor overall?
Tract 12103027316 scores 3.5/10, higher than the parent city of Palm Harbor at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Harbor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Palm Harbor
Top eight tracts in Palm Harbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Gleneagles
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Westlake Village
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103027318
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Gleneagles
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Harbor View
3.5
/ 10 · Low
Related