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Neighborhood · Ranked #65,283 of 84,120 nationally

Highland Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Palm Harbor

Tract 12103027314 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,130 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

The Moderate-tier score of 5.4/10 for census tract 12103027314 reflects conditions in Highland Lakes in Palm Harbor, Florida. On the national scale it ranks #38,691 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 50% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,245 monthly, set against $77,200 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 46% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 16% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,444
Renter share45.8%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$77,200

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In Highland Lakes
Very Low
Within parent city
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#10 of 14 tracts In Palm Harbor
Low
Within county
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#201 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Low
Within state
37 th percentile
Rank, 37th percentileLowHigh
#3,206 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palm Harbor and the region

Centroid at 28.0759, -82.7128 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highland Lakes scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,245 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Harbor
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Harbor
7.1

How Highland Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Highland Lakes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 027314Palm Harbor: 2.22.2Palm Harborparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 312Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 2.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.8%Peak (2006)
  • 7Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121030273142000: 6 filings (0.86/100 renter HHs)2001: 28 filings (4.04/100 renter HHs)2002: 18 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2003: 17 filings (2.45/100 renter HHs)2004: 18 filings (2.59/100 renter HHs)2005: 25 filings (3.87/100 renter HHs)2006: 31 filings (4.79/100 renter HHs)2007: 23 filings (3.56/100 renter HHs)2008: 22 filings (3.40/100 renter HHs)2009: 26 filings (4.02/100 renter HHs)2010: 26 filings (3.19/100 renter HHs)2011: 9 filings (0.83/100 renter HHs)2012: 16 filings (1.48/100 renter HHs)2013: 13 filings (1.20/100 renter HHs)2014: 6 filings (0.56/100 renter HHs)2015: 12 filings (1.11/100 renter HHs)2016: 9 filings (0.99/100 renter HHs)2017: 7 filings (0.77/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 48Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.23×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (20.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 3 filings (6.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Highland Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highland Lakes

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Palm Harbor, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.23x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103027314

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027314?

Census tract 12103027314 in the Highland Lakes neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103027314?

Median gross rent is $2,245/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027314?

7.8% of residents in tract 12103027314 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,130.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027314?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 75th, minority 36th, housing 82th.
Q5

Is tract 12103027314 considered part of Highland Lakes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027314 fall within Highland Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027314?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 312 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027314 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.35% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103027314 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103027314 compare to Palm Harbor overall?

Tract 12103027314 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Palm Harbor at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Harbor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palm Harbor

Top eight tracts in Palm Harbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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