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Neighborhood · St. Petersburg, FL

Riviera Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,862 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 4.9–4.9

Riviera Bay maps to a single census tract in St. Petersburg, FL, population 3,862. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.9/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 60% against 33.9% citywide, putting Riviera Bay 26.1% over its own city.

Severe burden reaches 32%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1.5/10.

Set annual rent against average household income of $53,809 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. This is a renter market: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.3/10.

The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The filing record is not thin: 1,099 evictions logged in this tract. Average gross rent is $1,441, 13% below the St. Petersburg average of $1,663.

Filing activity peaked in 2013 at 12.1% of renter households. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10.

Recent filings have not receded much: 7.5% in 2017 against a 12.1% peak. Among the 42 mapped neighborhoods of St. Petersburg, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.7/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

One tract means one number: 4.9/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Riviera Bay vs St. Petersburg How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.0% +77%
St. Petersburg: 33.9%
Average gross rent
$1,441 -13%
St. Petersburg: $1,663
Average HH income
$53,809 -32%
St. Petersburg: $78,724
Poverty rate
21.9% +88%
St. Petersburg: 11.7%
Renter share
66.4% +79%
St. Petersburg: 37.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Riviera Bay and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.9–4.9

Why Riviera Bay scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
66% renter households · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
21.9% below poverty line · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Risk score comparison

Riviera Bay vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Riviera Bay score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9Riviera BayNeighborhood3.5Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Riviera Bay

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103024410 4.9 3,862 60% $1,441
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 74

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 84%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 73%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 53%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 46%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Riviera Bay

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,099Total filings (sum)
  • 10.62%Avg annual filing rate
  • 12.1%Peak year (2013)
  • 7.51%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 214Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.9Avg monthly observed
  • 5.4Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.54×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Riviera Bay

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Riviera Bay?

Riviera Bay scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Riviera Bay compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Riviera Bay scores 1.4 points higher than St. Petersburg overall (3.5/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $1,441 vs $1,663.
Q3

What is the average rent in Riviera Bay?

Average gross rent in Riviera Bay is $1,441/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Riviera Bay residents are renters?

66% of Riviera Bay households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in St. Petersburg). The neighborhood has 3,862 residents.
Q5

Is Riviera Bay a high social-vulnerability area?

Riviera Bay sits in the 74th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Riviera Bay for landlords?

Riviera Bay carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to St. Petersburg as a whole (3.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Riviera Bay?

Riviera Bay has 3,917 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60%), Hispanic / Latino (21.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (11.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Riviera Bay

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside St. Petersburg

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Riviera Bay.

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