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Neighborhood · Ranked #30,841 of 84,120 nationally

Bridgewater Place Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg

Tract 12103024519 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,036 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

How risky is the Bridgewater Place area of St. Petersburg for landlords? Census tract 12103024519 scores 4.9/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 36% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 17% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,492 a month while the average household earns $57,008 a year, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 70% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 35% Owners 30%
Tract context
Occupied units2,244
Renter share70.2%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate20.6%
Median income$57,008

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Bridgewater Place
Very High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#7 of 77 tracts In St. Petersburg
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#23 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#789 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 27.8714, -82.6342 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bridgewater Place scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.6% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,492 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0

How Bridgewater Place compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bridgewater Place risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 024519St. Petersburg: 2.72.7St. Petersburgparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 474Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.5Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.85×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 6 filings (1.85× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (1.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2020-04-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-10-01: 9 filings (1.38× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 6 filings (4.80× baseline)2021-01-01: 4 filings (1.23× baseline)2021-02-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2021-03-01: 9 filings (12.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 6 filings (2.18× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-08-01: 7 filings (1.56× baseline)2021-09-01: 8 filings (1.88× baseline)2021-10-01: 7 filings (1.08× baseline)2021-11-01: 12 filings (2.40× baseline)2021-12-01: 7 filings (5.60× baseline)2022-01-01: 9 filings (2.77× baseline)2022-02-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (1.45× baseline)2022-06-01: 7 filings (1.75× baseline)2022-07-01: 11 filings (2.75× baseline)2022-08-01: 12 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-10-01: 7 filings (1.08× baseline)2022-11-01: 6 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-12-01: 7 filings (5.60× baseline)2023-01-01: 21 filings (6.46× baseline)2023-02-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2023-03-01: 5 filings (6.67× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 14 filings (5.09× baseline)2023-06-01: 6 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-07-01: 9 filings (2.25× baseline)2023-08-01: 8 filings (1.78× baseline)2023-09-01: 9 filings (2.12× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (0.46× baseline)2023-11-01: 11 filings (2.20× baseline)2023-12-01: 9 filings (7.20× baseline)2024-01-01: 10 filings (3.08× baseline)2024-02-01: 13 filings (2.89× baseline)2024-03-01: 6 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 9 filings (4.50× baseline)2024-05-01: 10 filings (3.64× baseline)2024-06-01: 9 filings (2.25× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-08-01: 11 filings (2.44× baseline)2024-09-01: 9 filings (2.12× baseline)2024-10-01: 6 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-11-01: 10 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 16 filings (12.80× baseline)2025-01-01: 16 filings (4.92× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-03-01: 5 filings (6.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 10 filings (3.64× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-07-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-08-01: 12 filings (2.67× baseline)2025-09-01: 3 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-10-01: 10 filings (1.54× baseline)2025-11-01: 5 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 4 filings (3.20× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Bridgewater Place. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bridgewater Place

The score leans hardest on economic stress at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.85x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, above pre-pandemic levels.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103024519

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103024519?

Census tract 12103024519 in the Bridgewater Place neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103024519?

Median gross rent is $1,492/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103024519?

20.6% of residents in tract 12103024519 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,036.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103024519?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 71th, minority 58th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 12103024519 considered part of Bridgewater Place?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103024519 fall within Bridgewater Place (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12103024519 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.85× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12103024519 compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Tract 12103024519 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg

Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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