Within parent city
99
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #17,426 of 84,120 nationally
St. Petersburg Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12103020206 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,029
For landlords sizing up St. Petersburg in Pinellas County, census tract 12103020206 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. That is riskier than about 43% of US census tracts.
About 78% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,446 monthly, set against $42,458 in average yearly household income, roughly 41% of income at the averages. About 75% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units2,096
Renter share75.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate27.7%
Median income$42,458
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
79
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7160, -82.6731 · click any tract to drill in
Why St. Petersburg scores 5.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
27.7% poverty · this tract
6.9
Supply constraint
$1,446 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How St. Petersburg compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 79%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,014Total filings over 18 yrs
- 8.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 15.8%Peak (2003)
- 77Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 55% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 578Total filings 2020-21
- 7.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.52×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in St. Petersburg
What moves this score most is economic stress at 6.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 79th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,014 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 8.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 15.8% of renter households in 2003.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020206
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020206?
Census tract 12103020206 in St. Petersburg scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020206?
Median gross rent is $1,446/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 78% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020206?
27.7% of residents in tract 12103020206 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,029.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020206?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 39th, minority 79th, housing 90th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020206?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,014 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020206 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.36% of renter households, peaking at 15.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020206 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.52× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103020206 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020206 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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