Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Wales Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105014301 · Polk, FL · pop 1,878 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Lake Wales
Tract 12105014301 sits in Lake Wales, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.6/10. Population here is 1,878. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units695
Renter share55.5%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate32.2%
Median income$31,134
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
99
th percentile
Very High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
National
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Wales and the region
Centroid at 27.9123, -81.5959 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Wales scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Wales
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.2% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$885 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Wales
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.9
How Lake Wales compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 502Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.3%Peak (2017)
- 48Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Wales
Against Polk County at 45.8%, 80% of renters here are cost-burdened. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10. Disability prevalence runs 49.5% against 31.5% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $31,134 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. It sits 1.7 points above the Polk County average of 3.9.
Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $885, 20% below the Lake Wales average.
Adults with no health insurance runs 22.4% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 502 evictions over 17 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2017 at 11.3% of renter households.
In a typical year about 6.4% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105014301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014301?
Census tract 12105014301 in Lake Wales scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105014301?
Median gross rent is $885/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014301?
32.2% of residents in tract 12105014301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,878.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 82th, minority 90th, housing 88th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 502 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105014301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.38% of renter households, peaking at 11.3% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105014301 compare to Lake Wales overall?
Tract 12105014301 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Wales at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Wales; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Wales
Top eight tracts in Lake Wales ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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