Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Wales Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105014301 · Polk, FL · pop 1,878 · 86% of tract blocks fall in Lake Wales
Lake Wales is where census tract 12105014301 sits, home to 1,878 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.3/10. That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 80% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $885 a month against an average household income of $31,134 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 56% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units695
Renter share55.5%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate32.2%
Median income$31,134
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
82
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Wales and the region
Centroid at 27.9123, -81.5959 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Wales scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Wales
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
32.2% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$885 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Wales
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.9
How Lake Wales compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 97
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 82%Household composition
- 90%Racial/ethnic minority
- 88%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 502Total filings over 17 yrs
- 6.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.3%Peak (2017)
- 48Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 20% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Wales
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Wales, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 97th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 502 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 6.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 11.3% of renter households in 2017.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105014301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014301?
Census tract 12105014301 in Lake Wales scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105014301?
Median gross rent is $885/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014301?
32.2% of residents in tract 12105014301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,878.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 82th, minority 90th, housing 88th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 502 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105014301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.38% of renter households, peaking at 11.3% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12105014301 compare to Lake Wales overall?
Tract 12105014301 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Wales at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Wales; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Wales
Top eight tracts in Lake Wales ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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